SHAMSHAD AHMAD
Articles written in Journal of Earth System Science
Volume 129 All articles Published: 1 July 2020 Article ID 0149 Research Article
Time series analysis of climate variables using seasonal ARIMA approach
TRIPTI DIMRI SHAMSHAD AHMAD MOHAMMAD SHARIF
The dynamic structure of climate is governed by changes in precipitation and temperature and can be studied by
time series analysis of these factors. This paper describes investigation of time series and seasonal analysis of the monthly
mean minimum and maximum temperatures and the precipitation for the Bhagirathi river basin situated in the state of
Uttarakhand, India. The data used is from the year 1901–2000 (100 years). The seasonal ARIMA (SARIMA) model was
used and forecasting was done for next 20 years (2001–2020). The auto-regressive (
Volume 129, 2020
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