N K Srinivasan graduated from Indian Institute of Science and obtained his Doctorate from Columbia University, New York. He has taught in several universities, and later did system analysis, wargaming and simulation for defence. His other areas of interest are reliability engineering and software development.

Most systems involve parameters and variables, which are random variables due to uncertainties. Probabilistic methods are powerful in modelling such systems. In this second part, we describe probabilistic models and Monte Carlo simulation along with 'classical' matrix methods and differential equations as most real situations are complex (with several variables) and involve uncertainties.

Read full article (155  Kb)

Address for Correspondence
N K Srinivasan
Director,
Centre for Aeronautical System Studies and Analyses
DRDO Bangalore 560 075, India.
Email: nksrinivasan@hotmail.com